Does Kalshi have Phoenix weather markets?
Yes — Kalshi lists daily high temperature, low temperature, and (seasonally) rain markets for Phoenix, settling on the official NWS station reading for the day.
A practical guide to this Kalshi category — what the markets look like, how settlement works, where the edge actually is, and the resources for building a strategy. Live current markets and FAQ below.
Kalshi lists daily high temperature, low temperature, and rain markets for Phoenix, each resolving on the official NWS station reading for the calendar day. These are among the cleanest markets on Kalshi to analyze: the settlement source is unambiguous and the same public forecast the market prices against is available to you.
The table above is live — every Phoenix weather market currently open, sorted by volume. Click any row to get an instant AI read: Prediction Pilot pulls the live NWS/Open-Meteo forecast for Phoenix, compares it to the market's threshold, and tells you whether there's a defensible edge and on which side.
Daily high and daily low contracts are listed in 1-2°F bands around the forecast. Each resolves to $1 if the temperature crosses the threshold, $0 if not, based on the Phoenix station of record. The documented favorite-longshot bias means 88-95¢ NO contracts on the forecast-favored side have historically won more often than their price implies.
| Market | NO ask | Spread | 24h vol |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the maximum temperature be 108-109° on Sep 7, 2026? | 82¢ | 1¢ | $64 |
| Will the maximum temperature be 106-107° on Sep 7, 2026? | 28¢ | 1¢ | $33 |
| Will the maximum temperature be <104° on Sep 7, 2026? | 99¢ | 5¢ | $27 |
| Will the minimum temperature be 85-86° on Sep 7, 2026? | 5¢ | 3¢ | $24 |
| Will the maximum temperature be 104-105° on Sep 7, 2026? | 93¢ | 2¢ | $19 |
| Will the maximum temperature be 110-111° on Sep 7, 2026? | 100¢ | 99¢ | $18 |
| Will the minimum temperature be >86° on Sep 7, 2026? | 100¢ | 99¢ | $10 |
| Will the minimum temperature be 83-84° on Sep 7, 2026? | 99¢ | 3¢ | $5 |
| Will the minimum temperature be 81-82° on Sep 7, 2026? | 100¢ | 99¢ | $4 |
| Will the minimum temperature be <79° on Sep 7, 2026? | 100¢ | 99¢ | $3 |
| Will the minimum temperature be 79-80° on Sep 7, 2026? | 100¢ | 99¢ | $2 |
| Will the maximum temperature be >111° on Sep 7, 2026? | 100¢ | 99¢ | $2 |
Yes — Kalshi lists daily high temperature, low temperature, and (seasonally) rain markets for Phoenix, settling on the official NWS station reading for the day.
Compare the live NWS/Open-Meteo forecast for Phoenix to each market's threshold. When the forecast sits at least ~2°F clear of the bracket edge, the forecast-favored NO side at 88-95¢ has historically carried a small systematic edge. Click any market above to have Prediction Pilot run that comparison for you.
Analyze any of these markets in one click. The AI reads live prices, your positions, and external signals — and answers in plain English.
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